Chances

Zohran Mamdani
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Zohran Mamdani’s Chances of Beating Cuomo, Adams in NYC Race: Poll

Democratic mayoral primary winner and state Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani is leading the pack of candidates to potentially govern New York City, a new poll this month shows. Newsweek reached out to several political analysts via email for comment after publication Thursday. Why It Matters The outcome of New York City’s mayoral race is nationally significant […]

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NJ election
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Jack Ciattarelli’s Chances of Beating Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey: Polls

Jack Ciattarelli is unlikely to beat Representative Mikie Sherrill in the race to become the next governor of New Jersey, according to a new poll. The poll, conducted for the American Principles Project (APP) by Cygnal, showed Sherrill with a 7 percentage point lead against her Republican rival some five months before Election Day. The […]

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Jack Ciattarelli Holds Election Night Rally
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Jack Ciattarelli’s chances of winning NJ governor’s race over Mikie Sherrill: Polls

New Jersey voters hit the polls on Tuesday and cast their ballots in the state’s primary races ahead of this year’s gubernatorial election. Jack Ciattarelli, a former New Jersey state representative and one-time critic turned supporter of President Donald Trump, won the Republican Party‘s nomination for governor. On the Democratic side, U.S. Representative Mikie Sherrill […]

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Potential tropical storm Barbara chances at forming
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Potential Tropical Storm Barbara Chances at Forming More Than Double

Chances for a developing tropical system off the southern Pacific coast of Mexico to become Tropical Storm Barbara have more than doubled in recent days, according to updates from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). As the storm strengthens, it could sap energy from another system to its east, AccuWeather senior meteorologist John Feerick told Newsweek, […]

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Michigan Senate race polls
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Republicans’ Chances of Flipping Michigan Senate Seat in Midterms—New Poll

Michigan presents an opportunity for Republicans to flip a Senate seat in the 2026 midterms, but a new poll suggested the race will be close in the battleground state that narrowly backed President Donald Trump last November. Why It Matters Senator Gary Peters’ retirement in Michigan leaves the Senate seat open, and candidates from both […]

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Former Representative Matt Gaetz polls for governor
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Matt Gaetz’s Chances of Winning Florida Governor Race, According to Poll

Former Representative Matt Gaetz is speculated to be considering a run in Florida’s 2026 gubernatorial race, but polls suggest other Republicans have carved out early leads. Newsweek reached out to Gaetz for comment via email. Why It Matters Gaetz’s entry into the field could upend the competition for the Republican nomination and test the limits […]

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Pittsburgh Pirates, pitcher, Paul Skenes
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MLB Insider Drops Update on Yankees, Other Contenders Chances of Landing Paul Skenes

The Pittsburgh Pirates have one of the best pitchers in baseball in Paul Skenes. He is in his second season and will not be a free agent until 2030. However, the team has not done much to convince him to want to stay with the team beyond that. The Pirates are 15-33 and have already […]

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Senator Susan Collins
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Democrats’ Chances of Defeating Susan Collins in Maine, According to Polls

Senator Susan Collins, a Maine Republican, is facing significant headwinds as she angles for reelection in the 2026 midterm, according to recent polling—with Democrats eyeing her seat as one of their best pickup opportunities. Newsweek reached out to Collins’ press office for comment via email on Sunday. Why It Matters Republicans currently control the Senate […]

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Tom Cotton to Chair Senate Intelligence Committee Under Trump: Report
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Andrew Cuomo’s Chances of Becoming New York City’s Mayor: Polls

By Jason Lemon is a Senior Politics Editor at Newsweek based in Brooklyn, New York. Prior to taking on the editor role, Jason’s reporting focused on U.S. politics and international affairs. He joined Newsweek in 2018, and had previously worked as an editor at a Middle Eastern media startup called StepFeed. He also worked a year as a contributor to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution […]

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Kamala Harris
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What Nate Silver Has Said About Kamala Harris’ Chances

Pollster Nate Silver has become the person many Americans look to for an election prediction they can trust on the strength of his reliable track record. With Election Day on Tuesday, many will be looking to Silver again, especially with the polls showing that the race remains extremely tight, with any leads enjoyed by Vice […]

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