NFL Week 11 Early Picks Against the Spread For All 14 Games

Ravens (-3.5) vs. Steelers — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Steelers +3.5

The Pittsburgh offense has been much better since Russell Wilson took over under center, and this defense will play well enough at home to keep the Steelers within a field goal in a battle for first place in the AFC North.

Modi: Steelers +3.5

This should be an awesome game, and since the Steelers are getting over a field goal, I’ll ride with them.

Browns at Saints (-1) — Sunday 1 p.m.

Everett: Browns +1

Coming off a bye, I like the Browns to pull this one out against a New Orleans team that beat the Falcons last Sunday thanks to three missed field goals by Atlanta kicker Younghoe Koo.

Modi: Browns +1

Call the number if you are betting this game and not a fan of either team.

Packers (-6) at Bears — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Bears +6

There’s little reason to trust the Bears right now, but with their backs against the wall against the hated Packers, I like Chicago to buck up and keep this game competitive.

Modi: Bears +6

It feels gross, but the Bears just fired their offensive coordinator, so the guess here is they play with a little extra motivation and keep this one relatively close.

Colts at Jets (-4) — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Colts +4

The Colts have lost three in a row and hardly inspire confidence at this point, but the Jets should not be laying four points against anyone as their season goes further and further off the rails.

Modi: Colts +4

The Colts have looked miserable the last two weeks since they benched Anthony Richardson, but the Jets have been miserable since 2011. I will gladly take a team getting four points against the Jets’ dumpster fire.

Jaguars at Lions (-13) — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Jaguars +13

The Jaguars are frisky enough to cover the massive spread for this game, but I don’t feel great about either side here.

Modi: Jaguars +13

I do not love backing the Jags in any way, but two touchdowns is just too much in the NFL, especially against a Lions team that slept-walked through much of their last game against the Texans.

Rams (-5) at Patriots — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Patriots +5

Drake Maye gives New England, which has won two of its last three, a chance offensively. While I don’t expect the Pats to pull the upset, I do like them to cover against L.A., which is in a tough spot traveling across the country for an early kickoff after a rough loss on MNF in Week 10.

Modi: Rams -5

The Rams have to be kicking themselves for losing that game against the Dolphins last Monday, but they should be able to get right against a bad Patriots team.

Raiders at Dolphins (-7.5) — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Dolphins -7.5

It’s hard to see Vegas scoring enough to keep this within a touchdown against a Dolphins team coming off one of its best defensive games of the year last Monday.

Modi: Dolphins -7.5

Despite winning their last game, it was not the most impressive performance in the world from Miami, but the Raiders are a complete disaster at this point, so maybe this is the game where the Dolphins offense gets rolling.

Vikings (-6) at Titans — Sunday, 1 p.m.

Everett: Vikings -6

Sam Darnold’s league-high 10 interceptions make it hard to trust Minnesota to win comfortably on the road against most teams, but I like the Vikes to pull away late in another ugly win following their 12-7 triumph over Jacksonville last Sunday.

Modi: Titans +6

The Vikings offense has not been the same over the past couple weeks, which, uncoincidentally, matches up with losing their left tackle, Christian Darrisaw, for the season. Sam Darnold is night-and-day when he is being pressured vs. having a clean pocket, and the Titans have a tough defense.

Falcons at Broncos (-2.5) — Sunday, 4:05 p.m.

Everett: Broncos -2.5

Denver was unlucky to lose to Kansas City last Sunday, so I’ll take the Broncos to come out angry and force Kirk Cousins into enough mistakes to win a close one at home to improve to 6-5.

Modi: Broncos -2.5

I could see this one going either way, but the Broncos just lost a heartbreaker to the Chiefs last week, and they have been legitimately good most of the season.

Seahawks at 49ers (-6.5) — Sunday, 4:05 p.m.

Everett: 49ers -6.5

Coming off the bye, it’s tempting to take Seattle to keep this game close against its division rival. But in San Francisco, the Seahawks are not going to be able to get enough stops to keep this within one score for 60 minutes.

Modi: 49ers -6.5

Maybe the Seahawks were able to clean some things up over the bye week, but I’ll need to see it before believing it. The 49ers had an interesting game last week where their kicker missed three kicks, but their offense put up a huge performance, which they should be able to do this week as well.

Chiefs at Bills (-2.5) — Sunday, 4:25 p.m.

Everett: Bills -2.5

Two of the best teams in the AFC meet in what should be another memorable meeting between Kansas City and Buffalo. Betting against the undefeated Chiefs is a risk worth taking given how well the Bills are playing right now and how due Kansas City is for a loss after winning one nail-biter after another so far this season.

Modi: Bills -2.5

The Chiefs are the “they can’t keep getting away with this” meme, and eventually they are going to get burned flying too close to the sun. The Bills can’t beat the Chiefs in the playoffs, but they can in the regular season, and they will do so once again in this one.

Bengals at Chargers (-1.5) — Sunday, 8:20 p.m.

Everett: Chargers -1.5

Jim Harbaugh has L.A. playing outstanding defense (no team in the league is giving up less than the 13.1 points per game that the Chargers are allowing) and Justin Herbert is leading a balanced offense that is in an impressive groove. Don’t be surprised if the 4-6 Bengals drop yet another heartbreaker in a season full of them.

Modi: Bengals +1.5

The Bengals have been close in all their losses except for one, but I continue to think they are going to go on a run, so hopefully it starts here.

Texans (-7.5) at Cowboys — Monday, 8:15 p.m.

Everett: Texans -7.5

I like Houston to bounce back from a rough stretch with a beatdown of the Cowboys, who will not be able to move the ball on this defense, especially if the Texans have star DE Will Anderson Jr. (ankle) back on the field.

Modi: Cowboys +7.5

This is a classic “plug your nose and bet” type of play backing the Cowboys, but they can’t possibly get blown out in yet another home game, right? On the other side of the field, this Texans offense hasn’t looked right all season.

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